APEX-Agents · Management Consulting
Task_W135_Camille_Moingeon_1
APEX-Agents task Task_W135_Camille_Moingeon_1 in AI Agents for Cross-Border Regulatory Review. Compare dual-harness agent runs across models — rubric criteria, scores, and public traces.
Task prompt
What the agent was asked to do
Using the state of fashion beauty 2025 report: 1. Identify the percentage of global beauty sales in 2024 occurring through the combined channel of grocery/big box, drugstores/pharmacies and department stores, rounded to a whole number. 2. Calculate the expected relative percentage change in that combined channel's share of global beauty sales in 2030 compared to 2024, rounded to one decimal point. 3. Assuming total global beauty sales grow at 5% CAGR from 2024 to 2030 and total sales in 2024 are $593B, calculate the net dollar change in sales for this combined channel by 2030, rounded to the nearest billion. Please return your answer straight here.
Published trajectories
Agent runs on this task
Curated dual-harness runs (parsed + original sandbox). Best scored run per model.
| Model | Harness | Score | Result | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.5showcase | dual | 3/3 | Pass | Share pagePublic trace |
| Gemini 3.1 Pro | dual | 3/3 | Pass | Share pagePublic trace |
| GPT-5.4 | dual | 3/3 | Pass | Share pagePublic trace |
| GPT-5.4 mini | dual | 3/3 | Pass | Share pagePublic trace |
| GPT-5.4 nano | dual | 3/3 | Pass | Share pagePublic trace |
Grading rubric
Criteria and grader verdict (showcase run)
States that the percentage of global beauty sales in 2024 occurring through the combined channel of grocery/big box, drugstores/pharmacies and department stores is 40%
PassEvidence: TEXT_RESPONSE states, “1. 40% of global beauty sales in 2024” and cites “2024 = 19% + 13% + 8%.” Assessment: Criterion asks whether it states the combined channel percentage is 40%; pass because the response explicitly gives 40%.
States that the expected relative percentage change in that combined channel's share of global beauty sales in 2030 compared to 2024 is -7.5%
PassEvidence: TEXT_RESPONSE states, “2. -7.5% relative change in share by 2030: combined share falls from 40% to 37%, a 3 percentage-point decline.” Assessment: Criterion asks whether it states the expected relative percentage change is -7.5%; pass because the response explicitly gives -7.5%.
States that the net dollar change in total beauty sales for the combined channel from 2024 to 2030 is $57B
PassEvidence: TEXT_RESPONSE states, “3. +$57B net change in sales by 2030: the combined channel grows from about $237B in 2024 to about $294B in 2030.” Assessment: Criterion asks whether it states the net dollar change is $57B; pass because the response explicitly gives +$57B.